Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 6

Colorado Avalanche v Montreal Canadiens

Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

Game 6 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Thursday, May 1 showcases the Colorado Avalanche hosting the Dallas Stars at Ball Arena at 9:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The Stars are up 3-2. The Avalanche are the favorite (-180) in this game against the Stars (+150).

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Here's our pick for who will claim the victory in this NHL Playoffs First Round contest.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final score of Avalanche 4, Stars 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-180)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche are 49-29-4 overall and 9-6-15 in overtime games.
  • In the 23 games Colorado has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 13-7-3 record (good for 29 points).
  • In the 15 games this season the Avalanche registered only one goal, they went 1-11-3 (five points).
  • Colorado has scored exactly two goals in 15 games this season (5-8-2 record, 12 points).
  • The Avalanche have scored more than two goals 54 times, and are 45-8-1 in those games (to record 91 points).
  • In the 34 games when Colorado has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 24-8-2 record (50 points).
  • In the 57 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Colorado is 35-19-3 (73 points).
  • The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents in 23 games, going 13-9-1 to record 27 points.

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have a 50-26-6 record this season and are 11-6-17 in contests that have needed overtime.
  • Dallas has earned 38 points (17-7-4) in its 28 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Stars scored just one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
  • Dallas has earned 17 points (7-8-3 record) this season when scoring two goals .
  • The Stars have earned 93 points in their 57 games with at least three goals scored.
  • This season, Dallas has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 31 games has a record of 23-7-1 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 22-13-1 (45 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents 47 times this season, and earned 63 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche Rank Avalanche AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
6th 3.33 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
11th 2.82 Goals Allowed 2.71 6th
5th 29.8 Shots 28.4 13th
3rd 25.9 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
7th 25.22% Power Play % 22% 17th
12th 79.51% Penalty Kill % 82.02% 4th

Avalanche vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado

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