The Dallas Stars and Edmonton Oilers square off in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Semifinals at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, May 21, with the puck dropping at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Oilers have +106 moneyline odds against the favored Stars (-127).
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Prepare for this Stanley Cup Semifinals matchup with a glimpse at who we project to emerge with the victory.
Stars vs. Oilers Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final tally of Stars 4, Oilers 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Stars (-127)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Oilers (+1.5)
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Stars Splits and Trends
- The Stars are 12-6-18 in overtime matchups on their way to a 50-26-6 overall record.
- Dallas has 42 points (19-7-4) in the 30 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the 10 games this season the Stars registered only one goal, they've finished 1-9-0 (two points).
- Dallas has scored a pair of goals in 19 games this season (8-8-3 record, 19 points).
- The Stars have scored more than two goals in 62 games (49-10-3, 101 points).
- In the 35 games when Dallas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 26-8-1 to register 53 points.
- In the 37 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 23-13-1 (47 points).
- The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 54 games, going 33-16-5 to record 71 points.
Oilers Splits and Trends
- The Oilers have a record of 48-29-5 this season and are 15-5-20 in overtime games.
- Edmonton has earned 56 points (26-13-4) in its 43 games decided by one goal.
- Across the seven games this season the Oilers ended with only one goal, they have earned four points.
- When Edmonton has scored two goals this season, they've earned six points (2-9-2 record).
- The Oilers have earned 107 points in their 67 games with three or more goals scored.
- This season, Edmonton has scored a single power-play goal in 33 games and registered 44 points with a record of 20-9-4.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Edmonton is 44-17-4 (92 points).
- The Oilers' opponents have had more shots in 23 games. The Oilers went 8-14-1 in those matchups (17 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Stars Rank | Stars AVG | Oilers AVG | Oilers Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd | 3.35 | Goals Scored | 3.16 | 11th |
| 6th | 2.71 | Goals Allowed | 2.87 | 14th |
| 13th | 28.4 | Shots | 32 | 1st |
| 23rd | 29 | Shots Allowed | 26.9 | 8th |
| 17th | 22% | Power Play % | 23.72% | 12th |
| 4th | 82.02% | Penalty Kill % | 78.16% | 16th |
Stars vs. Oilers Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Wednesday, May 21, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
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