Oilers vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - Stanley Cup Semifinals Game 4

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The Edmonton Oilers host the Dallas Stars for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Semifinals on Tuesday, May 27, starting at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Oilers are ahead in the series 2-1. The Stars are underdogs (+129) against the Oilers (-154).

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Get ready for this Stanley Cup Semifinals matchup with a look at who we predict will win the game.

Oilers vs. Stars Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final result of Oilers 4, Stars 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Oilers (-154)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Oilers Splits and Trends

  • The Oilers are 15-5-20 in overtime contests on their way to a 48-29-5 overall record.
  • Edmonton is 26-13-4 (56 points) in its 43 games decided by one goal.
  • In the seven games this season the Oilers recorded only one goal, they went 2-5-0 (four points).
  • Edmonton has scored a pair of goals in 13 games this season (2-9-2 record, six points).
  • The Oilers have scored at least three goals in 70 games (54-13-3, 111 points).
  • In the 36 games when Edmonton has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 22-10-4 to register 48 points.
  • In the 65 games when it outshot its opponent, Edmonton is 44-17-4 (92 points).
  • The Oilers have been outshot by opponents 25 times, and went 9-15-1 (19 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have posted a record of 12-6-18 in overtime matchups as part of an overall mark of 50-26-6.
  • In the 30 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 42 points.
  • This season the Stars registered only one goal in 11 games and they've earned two points (1-10-0) in those contests.
  • Dallas has 19 points (8-8-3) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Stars have scored at least three goals 63 times, earning 103 points from those matchups (50-10-3).
  • Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal in 35 games this season and has recorded 53 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 24-14-1 (49 points).
  • The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 54 games. The Stars finished 33-16-5 in those matchups (71 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Oilers Rank Oilers AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
11th 3.16 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
14th 2.87 Goals Allowed 2.71 6th
1st 32 Shots 28.4 13th
8th 26.9 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
12th 23.72% Power Play % 22% 17th
16th 78.16% Penalty Kill % 82.02% 4th

Oilers vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, May 27, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

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