Stars vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - Nov. 30

Utah Mammoth v Ottawa Senators

Photo: Chris Tanouye/Freestyle Photo / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Dallas Stars (16-5-4, on a three-game winning streak) host the Ottawa Senators (12-8-4) at American Airlines Center. The game on Sunday, Nov. 30 begins at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Here's our pick for who will claim the win in Sunday's game.

Over the past 10 contests, the Senators have gone 6-3-1 while scoring 27 total goals (four power-play goals on 25 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 16.0%). They have given up 24 goals.

Stars vs. Senators Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final score of Stars 4, Senators 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-142)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.4 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars (16-5-4 overall) have a 3-4-7 record in matchups that have required overtime.
  • In the 12 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 9-1-2 record (good for 20 points).
  • Looking at the four times this season the Stars ended a game with only one goal, they have a 1-2-1 record, good for three points.
  • Dallas has scored two goals in four games this season (1-1-2 record, four points).
  • The Stars have scored at least three goals 17 times, and are 14-2-1 in those games (to register 29 points).
  • In the nine games when Dallas has recorded a lone power-play goal, it won every time (18 points).
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 8-3-1 (17 points).
  • The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 13 games. The Stars went 8-2-3 in those contests (19 points).

Senators Splits and Trends

  • The Senators have a 4-4-8 record in overtime games this season and a 12-8-4 overall record.
  • In the 13 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
  • This season the Senators scored just one goal in two games and they lost both times.
  • Ottawa has earned five points (1-1-3 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Senators have scored more than two goals in 16 games, earning 23 points from those contests.
  • This season, Ottawa has recorded a single power-play goal in 10 games and registered 13 points with a record of 6-3-1.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Ottawa is 6-5-0 (12 points).
  • The Senators have been outshot by opponents 12 times this season, and earned 14 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Senators AVG Senators Rank
5th 3.4 Goals Scored 3.13 9th
7th 2.72 Goals Allowed 3.25 23rd
25th 25.9 Shots 26.5 22nd
18th 27.8 Shots Allowed 25.6 4th
1st 31.76% Power Play % 22.67% 10th
23rd 78.48% Penalty Kill % 71.01% 31st

Stars vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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