Stars vs. Flames Prediction & Picks - March 3

The Dallas Stars (37-14-9) visit the Calgary Flames (24-28-7) at Scotiabank Saddledome on Tuesday, March 3 at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Stars have won nine games in a row.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a peek at which club we think will emerge with the victory in Tuesday's action on the ice.

The Flames have scored 21 goals in their last 10 outings, while giving up 25 goals. A total of 23 power-play opportunities during that span have turned into six power-play goals (26.1%). They are 3-5-2 over those games.

Stars vs. Flames Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final result of Stars 4, Flames 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (-135)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars are 37-14-9 overall and 7-9-16 in overtime games.
• Dallas is 16-4-6 (38 points) in its 26 games decided by one goal.
• Looking at the eight times this season the Stars ended a game with just one goal, they have a 1-6-1 record, good for three points.
• Dallas has finished 2-2-3 in the seven games this season when it scored two goals (registering seven points).
• The Stars have scored at least three goals 43 times, and are 34-4-5 in those games (to register 73 points).
• In the 19 games when Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal, it registered 34 points after finishing 17-2-0.
• In the 24 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 18-5-1 (37 points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents 33 times, and went 18-7-8 (44 points).

Flames Splits and Trends

• The Flames have a 4-7-11 record in overtime games this season and a 24-28-7 overall record.
• In the 16 games Calgary has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 18 points.
• This season the Flames registered just one goal in 15 games and they've earned two points (0-13-2) in those contests.
• When Calgary has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 15 points (7-6-1 record).
• The Flames have scored three or more goals in 26 games, earning 37 points from those contests.
• This season, Calgary has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 16 games and registered 15 points with a record of 6-7-3.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Calgary has posted a record of 9-13-3 (21 points).
• The Flames have been outshot by opponents 32 times this season, and earned 32 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta

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