Stars vs. Oilers Prediction & Picks - March 12

The Dallas Stars (40-14-10) take on the Edmonton Oilers (32-25-8) at American Airlines Center on Thursday, March 12 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Stars knocked off the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in their last outing, while the Oilers are coming off a 4-3 victory over the Colorado Avalanche.

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Here's our prediction for who will claim the win in Thursday's matchup.

The Oilers have put up 41 goals during their past 10 outings, while allowing 41 goals. A total of 26 power-play opportunities during that span have netted 11 power-play goals (42.3%). They are 4-6-0 over those contests.

Stars vs. Oilers Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this encounter predicts a final result of Stars 4, Oilers 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (-126)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have a 40-14-10 record overall, with an 8-10-18 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
• Dallas is 18-4-6 (42 points) in its 28 games decided by one goal.
• In the eight games this season the Stars recorded just one goal, they went 1-6-1 (three points).
• Dallas has scored exactly two goals in eight games this season (3-2-3 record, nine points).
• The Stars have scored more than two goals in 46 games (36-4-6, 78 points).
• In the 23 games when Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 20-2-1 record (41 points).
• In games when it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 20-5-1 (41 points).
• The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 35 games. The Stars finished 19-7-9 in those matchups (47 points).

Oilers Splits and Trends

• The Oilers have a 8-8-16 record in overtime games this season and a 32-25-8 overall record.
• Edmonton has earned 29 points (12-10-5) in its 27 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Oilers registered only one goal in five games and they finished 0-4-1 in those matchups.
• When Edmonton has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned four points (2-10-0 record).
• The Oilers have scored more than two goals in 46 games, earning 67 points from those contests.
• Edmonton has scored a single power-play goal in 27 games this season and has recorded 26 points from those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Edmonton has posted a record of 20-16-5 (45 points).
• The Oilers have been outshot by opponents in 22 games, going 10-9-3 to register 23 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Oilers Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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