Stars vs. Wild Prediction & Picks - March 21

Minnesota Wild v Vegas Golden Knights

Photo: Ethan Miller / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Dallas Stars (43-15-10) will aim to extend a six-game road win streak when they square off against the Minnesota Wild (39-19-12) on Saturday, March 21 at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here is a look at which team we pick to come out on top in Saturday's action on the ice.

The Wild have gone 4-4-2 over the past 10 contests, totaling 28 total goals (six power-play goals on 32 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 18.8%). They have allowed 21 goals to their opponents.

Stars vs. Wild Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this matchup expects a final tally of Wild 4, Stars 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Wild (+115)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Wild (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars are 10-10-20 in overtime contests on their way to a 43-15-10 overall record.
  • Dallas is 19-4-6 (44 points) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the nine times this season the Stars ended a game with only one goal, they have a 2-6-1 record, good for five points.
  • Dallas has scored a pair of goals in eight games this season (3-2-3 record, nine points).
  • The Stars have scored at least three goals in 49 games (38-5-6, 82 points).
  • In the 24 games when Dallas has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 21-2-1 to record 43 points.
  • In the 27 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 20-6-1 (41 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 37 games, going 21-7-9 to record 51 points.

Wild Splits and Trends

  • The Wild have earned a record of 14-12-26 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall mark of 39-19-12.
  • In the 22 games Minnesota has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 31 points.
  • Across the 10 games this season the Wild ended with just one goal, they have earned four points.
  • Minnesota has 10 points (3-9-4) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
  • The Wild have scored at least three goals 44 times, earning 76 points from those matchups (35-3-6).
  • Minnesota has scored a single power-play goal in 32 games this season and has recorded 42 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Minnesota has posted a record of 18-8-5 (41 points).
  • The Wild have been outshot by opponents in 38 games, going 20-11-7 to register 47 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Wild AVG Wild Rank
8th 3.41 Goals Scored 3.24 11th
2nd 2.66 Goals Allowed 2.8 6th
27th 25.7 Shots 29.1 7th
8th 26.5 Shots Allowed 29.8 30th
2nd 29.27% Power Play % 24.78% 5th
12th 80.58% Penalty Kill % 79.56% 16th

Stars vs. Wild Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minnesota

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