Rangers vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - April 11

Chicago Blackhawks v Dallas Stars

Photo: Stacy Revere / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Dallas Stars (47-20-12) and New York Rangers (33-37-9) face off at American Airlines Center on Saturday, April 11 at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Stars knocked off the Minnesota Wild 5-4 in their last outing, while the Rangers are coming off a 5-3 loss to the Buffalo Sabres.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a look at which squad we think will bring home the victory in Saturday's action on the ice.

In the last 10 games, the Rangers have gone 5-4-1. They have totaled 36 goals, while their opponents have scored 20. They have gone on the power play 29 times during that span, and have capitalized with 10 goals (34.5% of opportunities).

Rangers vs. Stars Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Stars 4, Rangers 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-193)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars (47-20-12 overall) have an 11-12-23 record in contests that have required overtime.
  • Dallas is 21-6-8 (50 points) in its 35 games decided by one goal.
  • In the 12 games this season the Stars scored just one goal, they went 2-7-3 (seven points).
  • Dallas has scored a pair of goals in nine games this season (3-3-3 record, nine points).
  • The Stars have scored three or more goals 55 times, and are 42-7-6 in those games (to record 90 points).
  • In the 30 games when Dallas has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 23-5-2 to register 48 points.
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 22-8-2 (46 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents 43 times, and went 23-10-10 (56 points).

Rangers Splits and Trends

  • The Rangers (33-37-9 overall) have posted a record of 9-9-18 in games that have required OT this season.
  • New York has earned 24 points (8-11-8) in its 27 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Rangers scored just one goal in 12 games and have gone 1-10-1 (three points).
  • New York has earned 12 points (3-7-6 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Rangers have scored three or more goals 42 times, earning 60 points from those matchups (29-11-2).
  • New York has scored a lone power-play goal in 29 games this season and has registered 37 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, New York has posted a record of 12-10-4 (28 points).
  • The Rangers have been outshot by opponents 50 times this season, and earned 43 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Rangers AVG Rangers Rank
9th 3.32 Goals Scored 2.9 21st
2nd 2.71 Goals Allowed 3.06 17th
29th 25.2 Shots 25.1 31st
7th 26.2 Shots Allowed 28.9 21st
2nd 28.57% Power Play % 25.49% 4th
12th 79.92% Penalty Kill % 79.67% 14th

Rangers vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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