Stars vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - April 13

The Dallas Stars (48-20-12, on a three-game winning streak) go on the road against the Toronto Maple Leafs (32-34-14, losers of five straight). The matchup on Monday, April 13 starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a peek at which squad we pick to emerge with the victory in Monday's action on the ice.

The Maple Leafs have a 3-6-1 record during their past 10 contests. They have scored 28 total goals (nine power-play goals on 27 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 33.3%) while allowing 41 goals to their opponents.

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this game expects a final result of Stars 4, Maple Leafs 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Stars (-196)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have a 48-20-12 record overall, with an 11-12-23 record in contests that have required overtime.
  • In the 35 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 21-6-8 record (good for 50 points).
  • In the 12 games this season the Stars scored only one goal, they went 2-7-3 (seven points).
  • Dallas has taken 11 points from the 10 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (4-3-3 record).
  • The Stars are 42-7-6 in the 55 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 90 points).
  • In the 31 games when Dallas has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 24-5-2 to register 50 points.
  • In the 32 games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas is 22-8-2 (46 points).
  • The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 44 games. The Stars went 24-10-10 in those contests (58 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (32-34-14 overall) have posted a record of 9-14-23 in matchups that have needed OT this season.
  • Toronto has earned 36 points (13-3-10) in its 26 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Maple Leafs scored only one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (0-8-2) in those contests.
  • Toronto has 15 points (5-12-5) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
  • The Maple Leafs have earned 61 points in their 46 games with more than two goals scored.
  • This season, Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in 24 games has a record of 6-12-6 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 7-9-2 (16 points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 60 games. The Maple Leafs finished 23-25-12 in those matchups (58 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars Rank Stars AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
9th 3.3 Goals Scored 3.08 16th
2nd 2.68 Goals Allowed 3.58 31st
30th 25.1 Shots 26.3 22nd
7th 26.2 Shots Allowed 32.3 32nd
2nd 28.51% Power Play % 21.13% 15th
12th 80.33% Penalty Kill % 82.06% 4th

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Monday, April 13, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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