The Oklahoma City Thunder are slight 3.5-point favorites in a decisive Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals against the San Antonio Spurs at Paycom Center on Saturday, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The series is tied 3-3.
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Spurs vs. Thunder Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Thunder 116, Spurs 112.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-152)
- Total Pick: Over 212.5 (computer predicts 228.1 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-3.5)
Recent Spurs vs. Thunder Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/28/2026 | Spurs | -3.5 | 219.5 | -162 | +137 | 118-91 SA |
| 5/26/2026 | Thunder | -3.5 | 217.5 | -162 | +136 | 127-114 OKC |
| 5/24/2026 | Spurs | -2.5 | 219.5 | -150 | +126 | 103-82 SA |
| 5/22/2026 | Spurs | -2.5 | 218.5 | -139 | +117 | 123-108 OKC |
| 5/20/2026 | Thunder | -7.5 | 216.5 | -270 | +219 | 122-113 OKC |
| 5/18/2026 | Thunder | -6.5 | 219.5 | -250 | +204 | 122-115 SA |
| 2/4/2026 | Spurs | -9.5 | 221.5 | -420 | +325 | 116-106 SA |
| 1/13/2026 | Thunder | -8.5 | 230.5 | -304 | +245 | 119-98 OKC |
| 12/25/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 235 | -372 | +294 | 117-102 SA |
| 12/23/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 235.5 | -237 | +195 | 130-110 SA |
| 12/13/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 233.5 | -513 | +386 | 111-109 SA |
| 3/2/2025 | Thunder | -13 | 238.5 | -787 | +541 | 146-132 OKC |
| 11/19/2024 | Thunder | -10 | 222.5 | -510 | +382 | 110-104 SA |
| 10/30/2024 | Thunder | -12.5 | 220.5 | -787 | +548 | 105-93 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 39-43-0 record against the spread.
- The Thunder have a 36-40 record against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
- Oklahoma City has hit the over in 45 of its 82 games with a set total (54.9%).
- The Thunder have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 62 (80.5%) of those contests.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 62-14, a 81.6% win rate, when it's favored by -152 or more by bookmakers this season.
Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends
- San Antonio is 45-35-2 ATS this season.
- The Spurs have an 8-4 record against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year.
- A total of 35 of San Antonio's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (42.7%).
- The Spurs have a 13-6 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 68.4% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +127 or longer, San Antonio has a record of 8-4 (66.7%).
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Spurs vs. Thunder Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Jalen Williams: Out (Hamstring),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Ajay Mitchell: Out (Calf)
Spurs
Spurs:
David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle)
Spurs vs. Thunder Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, May 30, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBC/Peacock
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
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