The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars meet Saturday in a decisive Game 7 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at American Airlines Center, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on ABC. The teams are knotted up 3-3 in the series. Oddsmakers give the Avalanche -164 odds on the moneyline in this decisive matchup against the Stars (+139).

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Here is our pick for who will capture the victory in this NHL Playoffs First Round contest.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final result of Stars 4, Avalanche 3.

Moneyline Pick: Stars (+139)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

The Avalanche are 49-29-4 overall and 9-6-15 in overtime contests.
Colorado has 29 points (13-7-3) in the 23 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
The 15 times this season the Avalanche ended a game with only one goal, they went 1-11-3 (five points).
Colorado has taken 12 points from the 15 games this season when it scored two goals (5-8-2 record).
The Avalanche have scored at least three goals in 55 games (46-8-1, 93 points).
In the 34 games when Colorado has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 24-8-2 record (50 points).
When it has outshot its opponent, Colorado is 36-19-3 (75 points).
The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents in 23 games, going 13-9-1 to record 27 points.

Stars Splits and Trends

The Stars have a 11-6-17 record in overtime contests this season and a 50-26-6 overall record.
In the 28 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 38 points.
This season the Stars scored just one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
Dallas has 17 points (7-8-3) when scoring two goals this season.
The Stars have scored more than two goals 58 times, earning 93 points from those matchups (45-10-3).
Dallas has scored a single power-play goal in 32 games this season and has recorded 47 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Dallas is 22-13-1 (45 points).
The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 48 games, going 29-14-5 to register 63 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

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