The Dallas Stars (43-21-4) host the Philadelphia Flyers (28-34-8) at American Airlines Center on Saturday, March 22 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with both teams back in action after a loss. The Stars are coming off a 3-2 shootout defeat to the Tampa Bay Lightning, while the Flyers were beaten by the Washington Capitals 3-2 in their last game.

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Here's our pick for who will claim the victory in Saturday's matchup.

Over the last 10 contests, the Flyers have registered a 2-8-0 record after scoring only 14 total goals (without scoring a power-play goal, on 25opportunities. Their opponents have scored a combined 32 goals in those games.

Stars vs. Flyers Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final result of Stars 4, Flyers 2.

Moneyline Pick: Stars (-272)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

The Stars (43-21-4 overall) have an 8-4-12 record in games that have needed overtime.
Dallas is 13-7-2 (28 points) in its 22 games decided by one goal.
In the eight games this season the Stars registered just one goal, they've finished 1-7-0 (two points).
Dallas has taken 14 points from the 16 games this season when it scored two goals (6-8-2 record).
The Stars are 36-6-2 in the 44 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 74 points).
In the 23 games when Dallas has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has an 18-4-1 record (37 points).
In the 35 games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas is 21-13-1 (43 points).
The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 31 games, going 21-7-3 to register 45 points.

Flyers Splits and Trends

The Flyers have a record of 28-34-8 this season and are 11-8-19 in overtime games.
Philadelphia has earned 23 points (9-6-5) in its 20 games decided by one goal.
This season the Flyers recorded just one goal in 11 games and have gone 2-9-0 (four points).
Philadelphia has earned 11 points (4-6-3 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
The Flyers have scored three or more goals 39 times, earning 49 points from those matchups (22-12-5).
This season, Philadelphia has recorded a lone power-play goal in 18 games has a record of 10-6-2 in those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Philadelphia is 18-12-4 (40 points).
The Flyers have been outshot by opponents 35 times this season, and earned 22 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

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